Today is by far the worst day in sports betting as there is no action – not even in the MLB! We did clean up on the AL, the AL team total over 3.5 and the AL/NL over 7 last night which makes today a little bit better, and it allowed us some time to really dig in and find some value in the Open Championship, which begins Thursday at 1:30 AM ET. Here’s what we’ve come up with.
First and foremost, golfers are not happy with how difficult, long, and fast it seems to be playing, which is always fun to watch. The field will be grinding it out similar to the U.S. Open, and will have to be long, straight, disciplined and careful, which is very rare in this day and age.
Secondly, you have to take a long, hard look at the European players in this tournament. They are used to the elements (wind, rain, etc.) and always seem to be in the thick of things during this tournament.
Lastly, you need to respect the veterans. There is something to be said for playing this course and playing in this tournament year after year. As far as I’m concerned, you can’t be taking young guns this week. So, here are my picks (please note, I only take longer shots with some tremendous value):
Tiger Woods +1950
Call me crazy, but when Tiger was giving his reasoning as to why he believes this 2018 Open is his best chance for his 15th major, I believed him. He is hitting the ball longer, straighter, and better than he ever has in recent years, and I think he is the best player on tour with a 3-iron off the tee. Look for those stinging iron shots that he loves to hit to run for days and get him very deep off the tee box. From there, his iron and putting game will be the keys. If he can strike the ball as well as he has been and make some putts, he will be there on Sunday, which would be an amazing site to see.
Zach Johnson +5500
An Open winner in 2015, I always like a straight, in-play guy who can putt the ball on tough weeks like this. Johnson has always played well at The Open and I don’t see this week being any different. The only issue would be his length off the tee, but given the way he hits his driver and fairway metal, I think he will be able to swing freely and keep the ball in the short stuff. I wouldn’t be surprised to see Johnson finish in the top five and maybe even win this thing.
Lee Westwood +7500
Is it time for Westwood to get off the snide? I certainly hope so. Westwood has had a hell of a career, and one thing that is missing is that elusive Major championship, which he has come so close to winning at the Open. Westwood is definitely used to these types of courses and the challenges that come with playing here. In this case, it is going to be a matter of overcoming the pressure and proving he can win. It is definitely a long shot, but wouldn’t it be great to cash in the $7,500 if it hits?
Photo: Sports Gambling Podcast
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