Middle Urinal Must Bets: NFL Week 10


Welcome to Middle Urinal Must Bets, presented by the WTP Sports Book (go DM @WTP_SportsBook on Twitter to place your bets). Each week on Live from the Middle Urinal—an OK-at-best podcast you certainly should(n’t) listen to—myself and fellow degenerate sports better Dom not only talk about our favorite bets for the following week, but we guess the lines, talk about the bad beats from the week before, and of course, give you our…


Here’s what we’ve done thus far
Week 7:
Matt — CLE +3 at TB: WIN
Dom — IND -7 at BUF: WIN

Week 8:
Matt — SEA +3 at DET: WIN
Dom — CLE +8.5 at PIT: LOSS

Week 9:
Matt — KC -8 at CLE: WIN
Dom — HOU +2.5 at DEN: WIN

And now, without further ado, here are our LOCKS OF THE WEEK for NFL Week 10

Matt (3-0)
The Game: Washington Redskins at Tampa Bay Buccaneers; Sunday, 1:00 pm
The Pick: WAS +3 (now +3)

I understand that the ‘Skins aren’t exactly world beaters, but Tampa Bay isn’t much to look at either. Tampa can score, sure, and while they’re likely to do so at home, Washington has shown it can handle its shit. Alex Smith is much more competent than both Winston and Fitzpatrick, and if Adrian Peterson plays like a 21-year-old, it’s almost a guarantee. In fact, it almost hinges on that. The ‘Skins have lost three games, in all of which Peterson rushed for 20 yards or less. Even so, Tampa Bay is DEAD LAST as of this week in defensive DVOA value, which really opens things up for Smith and Peterson to make some things, most likely of the scoring type, happen. Between the QB crapshoot and head coaching nightmare that the Bucs are facing, I think it’s safe to say you could pick against them basically every week now. Lock it in.

Dom (2-1)
The Game: New England Patriots at Tennessee Titans; Sunday 1:00 pm
The Pick: NE -6.5 (now -7.5)

Sure, Tennessee has a great run defense and an awesome head coach in Mike Vrabel, but as Dom always says, “you can’t bet against the Pats.” It’s just a fact, folks. The Titans do have an incredible run defense, best in the NFL, but they just don’t have the secondary to keep up with Tom Brady, especially now that he and Josh Gordon seem to be getting into a rhythm. Sony Michel is supposedly playing, which would help, but even so, James White and Cordarrelle Patterson have shown they can hold their own by committee. Gronk isn’t playing, but that may not matter. Fun Fact(!): Even without Gronk, the Pats are 24-8 straight up and 20-11-1 against the spread. Lock it in.

Every Sunday morning, I’ll be bringing you these picks, so make sure you place all your bets with the WTP Sports Book by DMing us at @WTP_SportsBook on Twitter. Go make some money, folks.


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